Brazilian coffee exports reached 2,996,549 million bags in March of 2016, 2.5 % higher than the number reported in February of this year, highlighting a growth of 3.6 % in the shipments of Arabica coffee. Data resuts are from a monthly report by Cecafé – Coffee Exporters Council of Brazil. With that, the exported volume accumulated in the last 12 months if of 36.7 million bags.
According to the report, in the current crop year (from July 2015 to March 2016) there are more than 27.9 million bags, indicating an increase of 0.6 % over the same comparative base of last year. This growth is driven by exports of Arabica and instant coffee which had respectively, an increase of 5.1 % and 5.6 %.
“The market expectation that Brazil would have an export reduction in this period didin’t happen, due to the good levels of existing stocks, which made our performance better than expected, very close to 3 million bags” says Nelson Carvalhaes, president of Cecafé . “The important thing is that we need to produce a total of about 58 million bags this next crop to meet the demands for export and domestic consumption,” adds the president .
An assumption of the number that will be needed to meet the demands were also made by and exporter and broker from Santos, SP, Escritório Carvalhaes . “There are no numbers circulating in the market, but private coffee stocks in Brazil are very low, probably the lowest in history and are decreasing each day as Brazilian shipments remain at a surprising high level for a period of off season. After two years of drought and weather problems in major coffee producing regions of Brazil, combined with historic export record in 2014 and 2015, there is a strong feeling in the market that our coffee stocks will be practically gone by the end of next June, that ends the crop year 2015/2016” said the company bulletin released last Friday ( 8/4 ).
Other producing countries buy and consume more and more coffee from Brazil
One of the report ‘s highlights is the rise of the domestic coffee consumption by other producers, reflecting positively on marketing to these countries. ” One of the surprises is the advancement of Brazilian exports to the competitors themselves, who have had a staggering percentage growth” continues Carvalhaes.
In the period of January-March 2016 Brazil exported coffee to 27 producing countries that consume the Brazilian product. In Latin America, shipments from Brazil to Ecuador were higher in the first quarter ( 25,300 sacks , + 415 % ), Peru ( 11,500 sacks , + 216% ), Colombia (9.3 million bags , + 162% ), Kenya (4.8 million bags , + 353 %) and El Salvador ( 4900 bags + 342 %). In Mexico, the growth was 17.6% ( 119,300 bags). These six countries account for 53 % of Brazil’s exports to competitors.
Increase in sales to emerging countries
In emerging countries, where the average rate of consumption growth is estimated at 4.9% per year, the consumption of the drink prepared with grains grown in Brazil also recorded higher volumes. In the year, Eastern Europe consumed 20 % more Brazilian coffee, especially in Hungary (44.8%) , Romania (44.5% ), Russia ( 29%) and Ukraine (14.5 %), which, together already account for 83 % of the Brazilian coffee demand in the region. In Oceania, Australia received during the period 64,400 bags, an increase of 23.5% , representing 87.4 % of consumption in the region.
The final highlight appointed by the report ha to do with Asia. Turkey and South Korea also increased Brazil’s coffee consumption ( 8.4% and 8.8 % , respectively).
Specialty coffees already represent 1.8 million bags in the year, 20.8 % of the total coffee volume, showing that there is an ongoing public interest in those with some kind of certification, such as origin, gourmet, organic or even with differences in terms of sustainability, environmental conditions and methods of processing and improvements.
“Prices have remained linear from the beginning of the year” said Carvalhaes. The average bag price closed at US $ 145.98 in March.
The Port of Santos, in São Paulo’s coast, remains the main route for coffee shipment, with 84.9 % of exports. Since the beginning of the year, more than 7.4 million bags have been through there. But also it stands out the increase in the ports of Rio de Janeiro (more than one million bags , 11.8 % share) and Paranaguá (over 70 million bags, 0.8 % share).
Source : Cafepoint